Mortgage Rate Momentum: Could We Finally See Rates Drop Below 6%?
As of now, mortgage rates have dipped to a 2025 low of approximately 6.75%. This recent decline offers a bit of relief for prospective homebuyers and real estate investors who have been navigating a high-rate environment. The drop is largely attributed to softer economic data and a decline in bond yields.
Whatâs Driving the Decline in Rates?
Mortgage rates often track closely with the bond market. Right now, investors are seeking safe-haven assets like bonds due to growing economic uncertainty. This demand has driven bond prices up and yields downâcontributing to the recent easing in mortgage rates.
But is this a trend that will continue?
Expert Insight: Logan Mohtashami Weighs In
According to housing analyst Logan Mohtashami, there's potential for rates to fall even further. However, a significant decline would likely require:
A noticeable downturn in economic activity
Or a major correction in the stock market
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With these dynamics in play, landlords and real estate investors have a prime opportunity to optimize their rental strategies.
The Role of the Mortgage-Bond Spread
Another critical factor to watch is the mortgage-bond spreadâthe difference between mortgage rates and the 10-year Treasury yield. If this spread normalizes and returns to historical averages, we could see mortgage rates dip below 6%.
Still, predicting future rate movements remains tricky. Economic indicators can change quickly, and forecasts arenât guarantees.
What Should Buyers and Investors Do Now?
Hereâs my best advice based on nearly three decades in the field: Donât wait for perfect conditions.
If a real estate deal makes sense todayâbased on your financial situation, goals, and long-term visionâthen it will likely still be a sound decision regardless of small changes in interest rates.
Key Takeaways:
Rates have reached a new 2025 low (6.75%)
Economic uncertainty is fueling bond demand and rate drops
Further declines are possible but not guaranteed
Focus on smart decision-making rather than perfect timing
Stay Informed and Ready!